Hollywood baselines beside the 2023 census

A calibration story. The scoring baselines are an expected cast mix. The census is the country.

This comparison is not used to rescore titles. Racial audience scores stay on racial_baselines_by_origin.

Required phrase: not used to rescore titles. This comparison is not used to rescore titles. Racial audience scores stay on racial_baselines_by_origin.

WhatSphere racial audience scores are deviations from racial_baselines_by_origin, the Hollywood row in particular. Replacing those baselines with census shares would move every racial score. This page sets the published baselines beside one census table so a reader can see the distance. It does not change a title, a factor, or a score version.

The census extract is the American Community Survey 2023 1-year estimates, table DP05, United States. Universe: total population 334,914,896. Hispanic or Latino is an origin, so it is not a race-alone line. The 2023 table has no Middle Eastern or North African category, and no separate South Asian line. Asian alone includes South Asian origins, while the scoring baseline splits asian and south_asian. Count 0 on those two rows means the table has no line. It is not a population of zero, and it is not drawn as zero people.

Census table DP05 · Maryland reprint of the same DP05

Hollywood scoring baselines beside 2023 ACS DP05 shares
Scoring bucketBaseline %ACS lineACS %
white60White alone, not Hispanic or Latino
Scoring "white" is a cast bucket. ACS is not-Hispanic White alone.
57.1
black13Black or African American alone, not Hispanic or Latino
Alone, not Hispanic. ACS does not split African and Caribbean origins the way a cast note might.
11.8
hispanic12Hispanic or Latino, any race
Largest gap versus the Hollywood baseline (12). Hispanic is an origin, not a race-alone line.
19.4
asian6Asian alone, not Hispanic or Latino
ACS Asian includes South Asian origins. Scoring splits asian 6 and south_asian 2 (8 together).
5.9
indigenous1American Indian and Alaska Native alone, not Hispanic or Latino
Scoring "indigenous" is the nearest bucket. ACS AIAN alone is narrower.
0.5
mixed4Two or more races, not Hispanic or Latino
Nearest census line to the scoring "mixed" bucket.
4.4
other1Some other race alone, not Hispanic or Latino
Scoring "other" is not this census line. Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander alone (0.2%) has no scoring bucket.
0.6
middle_eastern1No Middle Eastern or North African line in 2023 ACS DP05
2023 DP05 still folds MENA into other race categories, mostly White. Count 0 means the table has no line, not a population of zero. Do not chart this row as zero people.
no line
south_asian2No separate South Asian line in 2023 ACS DP05
South Asian origins sit inside Asian alone. Count 0 means no separate line, not a population of zero.
no line

writes_scores=false. This comparison is not used to rescore titles.